Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000835 0.000897 0.000961 0.001035 0.001116 0.001203 0.001304
2026-01-18 0.000745 0.000828 0.000920 0.001030 0.001159 0.001306 0.001488
2026-01-25 0.000783 0.000899 0.001033 0.001200 0.001407 0.001656 0.001985
2026-02-01 0.000709 0.000829 0.000972 0.001155 0.001390 0.001684 0.002088
2026-02-08 0.000654 0.000777 0.000926 0.001123 0.001382 0.001717 0.002196
2026-02-15 0.000616 0.000743 0.000899 0.001110 0.001395 0.001776 0.002341
2026-02-22 0.000578 0.000705 0.000864 0.001083 0.001386 0.001801 0.002438
2026-03-01 0.000539 0.000663 0.000821 0.001043 0.001355 0.001793 0.002482
2026-03-08 0.000514 0.000638 0.000800 0.001029 0.001359 0.001832 0.002599
2026-03-15 0.000489 0.000613 0.000775 0.001010 0.001352 0.001855 0.002693
2026-03-22 0.000455 0.000573 0.000730 0.000958 0.001295 0.001797 0.002650
2026-03-29 0.000434 0.000551 0.000707 0.000937 0.001282 0.001805 0.002716
2026-04-05 0.000415 0.000532 0.000690 0.000927 0.001291 0.001856 0.002874
2026-04-12 0.000399 0.000516 0.000677 0.000923 0.001307 0.001922 0.003070
2026-04-19 0.000429 0.000566 0.000760 0.001068 0.001572 0.002429 0.004170
2026-04-26 0.000404 0.000537 0.000726 0.001030 0.001535 0.002411 0.004239
2026-05-03 0.000384 0.000513 0.000699 0.001002 0.001513 0.002417 0.004360
2026-05-10 0.000370 0.000498 0.000684 0.000991 0.001519 0.002474 0.004599
2026-05-17 0.000354 0.000479 0.000662 0.000968 0.001501 0.002484 0.004736
2026-05-24 0.000336 0.000456 0.000635 0.000934 0.001461 0.002448 0.004760
2026-05-31 0.000324 0.000443 0.000621 0.000921 0.001460 0.002488 0.004972
2026-06-07 0.000312 0.000429 0.000604 0.000905 0.001449 0.002508 0.005136
2026-06-14 0.000295 0.000406 0.000573 0.000860 0.001383 0.002409 0.004983